Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.613635 0.768292 0.933986 1.122824 1.330335 1.549877 1.798227
2025-02-23 0.389632 0.597053 0.840555 1.138284 1.484619 1.868222 2.319183
2025-03-02 0.246085 0.460459 0.733879 1.087427 1.515940 2.005337 2.594778
2025-03-09 0.143915 0.347833 0.634268 1.026515 1.520703 2.100679 2.813728
2025-03-16 0.084100 0.274189 0.569446 0.995501 1.550103 2.215312 3.046225
2025-03-23 0.054796 0.238919 0.550733 1.018995 1.642931 2.402577 3.361554
2025-03-30 0.030752 0.200880 0.520636 1.021815 1.705602 2.550412 3.627792
2025-04-06 0.012504 0.159702 0.477458 1.000697 1.733143 2.652084 3.836277
2025-04-13 0.006844 0.149124 0.483663 1.049525 1.852228 2.867142 4.181777
2025-04-20 0.003153 0.139708 0.489997 1.097453 1.969507 3.079670 4.524182
2025-04-27 0.001221 0.133863 0.501733 1.152913 2.096707 3.304691 4.882038
2025-05-04 0.000687 0.137889 0.532768 1.238220 2.264977 3.582240 5.304908
2025-05-11 0.000015 0.130020 0.541552 1.293301 2.398402 3.824022 5.695062
2025-05-18 NaN 0.112119 0.526894 1.311037 2.480992 4.002531 6.009827
2025-05-25 NaN 0.079252 0.470086 1.255867 2.458069 4.042504 6.150408
2025-06-01 NaN 0.050688 0.410789 1.190094 2.415896 4.054543 6.253807
2025-06-08 NaN 0.033719 0.373114 1.156493 2.416612 4.119953 6.421530
2025-06-15 NaN 0.028059 0.369057 1.181939 2.503472 4.299058 6.732803
2025-06-22 NaN 0.020519 0.353620 1.184991 2.556283 4.432406 6.985813
2025-06-29 NaN 0.012037 0.325801 1.162125 2.568761 4.510874 7.168343
2025-07-06 NaN 0.011428 0.337121 1.214969 2.696134 4.744140 7.548906
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010779 0.347893 1.266754 2.822014 4.975587 7.927421
2025-07-20 NaN 0.010783 0.362666 1.326580 2.960368 5.224122 8.328128